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This is a space for clear, honest reflections on trading — not hype, not signals. I share insights on how markets move, how traders think, and what separates a good setup from a bad decision. Some of these posts are drafted with the help of AI tools, but the ideas come from real trading experience, observation, and curiosity about how we make and lose confidence in the markets. If you’re here to think more deeply about trading — beyond price targets and indicators — you’ll feel at home.

Monday, October 27, 2025

VSA Module 3: Signs of Strength and Weakness

 

πŸ“™ Module 3 — Signs of Strength and Weakness

Big Idea: The market constantly reveals its strength or weakness through price and volume clues. Recognizing these signs early lets traders align with professional activity and avoid emotional traps.

Lesson 1 — Signs of Strength (SOS)

When demand exceeds supply, professional money supports the market. These are known as Signs of Strength (SOS).

  • Wide-spread up bar closing near the top on high volume → professional buying.
  • Successful test — price dips on low volume then rallies → supply removed.
  • Spring / Shake-out — brief move below support on high volume that closes higher → trap for sellers.
  • No-Supply bar — narrow down bar, low volume → sellers absent.

πŸ“Š Example placeholder: “SOS 1 — Shake-Out below Support.”

Evaluation:
  1. “No-Supply” means … a) Many sellers b) Few sellers, low volume c) No buyers d) High effort down
  2. Wide up bar + high volume + close near top shows … a) Weakness b) Strength / demand c) Indecision d) Stopping volume
  3. A successful test appears after … a) Prior strength b) Distribution c) News d) Trend reversal
Lesson 2 — Signs of Weakness (SOW)

When supply exceeds demand, professionals distribute holdings. These are Signs of Weakness (SOW).

  • Up-thrust — price spikes above resistance on high volume then closes down → trap for buyers.
  • Buying climax — wide up bar, ultra-high volume, weak close → exhaustion of demand.
  • No-Demand bar — narrow up bar, low volume → absence of professional buying.
  • Effort to Rise Fails — heavy volume up-bar but closes weak → hidden selling.

πŸ“Š Example placeholder: “SOW 2 — Up-thrust above Resistance.”

Evaluation:
  1. No-Demand means … a) Lack of professional buying b) Strong demand c) Panic selling d) Sideways market
  2. An Up-thrust traps … a) Sellers b) Late buyers c) Smart money d) Institutions only
  3. Buying Climax shows … a) Beginning of rally b) End of rally / distribution c) Test of supply d) Support
Lesson 3 — Context Matters

No signal has meaning in isolation. VSA reads the background — what happened before the bar.

  • Signs of Strength after prolonged weakness → accumulation confirmed.
  • Signs of Weakness after extended rally → distribution confirmed.
  • Always link current bar to previous few bars’ volume and spread.

πŸ“Š Example placeholder: “Context — SOS following SOW reversal zone.”

Evaluation:
  1. VSA interprets any bar in relation to … a) Indicator b) Background c) Candle name d) News only
  2. Strength signals are most reliable after … a) Weak background / accumulation b) New highs c) Rallies d) Tests
  3. Weakness signals are most valid after … a) Low volume area b) Strong background / distribution c) Shake-out d) Range
Lesson 4 — Confirmation and Timing

After spotting SOS or SOW, wait for confirmation — a follow-through bar or volume behavior that validates the reading.

  • SOS confirmed by higher close on increasing volume.
  • SOW confirmed by lower close on increasing volume.
  • Tests or low-volume retests act as ideal entries in harmony with the background.

Patience avoids false signals and whipsaws.

πŸ“Š Example placeholder: “Confirmation after SOS test.”

Evaluation:
  1. Confirmation means … a) Indicator crossover b) Follow-through supporting the signal c) Volume drop d) RSI reading
  2. SOS confirmation occurs when … a) Next bar closes higher with strong volume b) Low volume c) Range narrows d) Gap down
  3. SOW confirmation = … a) Higher close b) Lower close on heavy volume c) Sideways bar d) Low volume
πŸ”‘ Key Takeaways:
  • VSA identifies strength and weakness through price–volume patterns.
  • SOS = demand dominance; SOW = supply dominance.
  • Always consider context and wait for confirmation.

Tip: Keep a screenshot folder of each SOS/SOW example you find — building your visual memory is the fastest way to master VSA interpretation.

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