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This is a space for clear, honest reflections on trading — not hype, not signals. I share insights on how markets move, how traders think, and what separates a good setup from a bad decision. Some of these posts are drafted with the help of AI tools, but the ideas come from real trading experience, observation, and curiosity about how we make and lose confidence in the markets. If you’re here to think more deeply about trading — beyond price targets and indicators — you’ll feel at home.

Monday, October 27, 2025

VSA MODULE 1: LOGIC OF THE MARKETS

 

๐Ÿ“˜ Module 1 — The Logic of the Market

Big Idea: Markets are continuous auctions. Price rises when demand > supply and falls when supply > demand. Volume shows the strength of that imbalance.

Lesson 1 — Markets as Auctions

Financial markets operate like a continuous auction. Buyers lift offers; sellers hit bids. Price moves toward the more aggressive side.

  • Buyers bid for limited supply.
  • Sellers offer into demand.
  • Movement = who is more aggressive.
Evaluation:
  1. Markets function as … a) Lottery b) Continuous auction c) Fixed exchange d) Prediction machine
  2. More aggressive buyers → price tends to … a) Flat b) Down c) Up d) Random
  3. Imbalance strength is seen in … a) Spread b) Time c) Volume d) Price only
Lesson 2 — Crowd vs Professionals

Crowd: reactive, emotional; often buy late and sell late.
Professionals (Smart Money): accumulate low, distribute high.

VSA detects professional activity through volume + spread patterns at key levels.

Evaluation:
  1. Who trades emotionally? a) Pros b) Crowd c) MMs d) Algos
  2. Smart Money accumulates when price is … a) High b) Sideways c) Low d) Volatile
  3. VSA reveals activity via … a) RSI b) Volume + Spread c) News d) Patterns
Lesson 3 — Reading a Price Bar

Each bar shows Open, High, Low, Close (OHLC). The spread and closing position reveal who controlled the session.

  • Wide up bar closing high → buyers dominant.
  • Wide down bar closing low → sellers dominant.
  • Narrow spread + low volume → lack of interest (no demand/supply).

Judge effort (volume) vs result (price progress).

Evaluation:
  1. Not part of OHLC: a) Open b) High c) Average d) Close
  2. Wide up bar + high volume = a) Weakness b) Strength c) Indecision d) Low interest
  3. Narrow spread + low volume means a) Fight b) Market resting c) Pro selling d) Fast trend
Lesson 4 — Why Volume Tells the Truth

Big players can’t hide their footprints — major buying or selling always creates volume.

  • Volume = Effort
  • Price = Result

High effort but little result → absorption or distribution, a key VSA signal.

Evaluation:
  1. Volume represents a) Emotion b) Effort c) Result d) Direction
  2. High volume + little price progress = a) Continuation b) Absorption/weakness c) Random d) News
  3. Why trust volume? a) Delayed b) Shows hidden interest c) Ignores big players d) Noisy

Tip: Expand one lesson at a time and review the questions before continuing.

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