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This is a space for clear, honest reflections on trading — not hype, not signals. I share insights on how markets move, how traders think, and what separates a good setup from a bad decision. Some of these posts are drafted with the help of AI tools, but the ideas come from real trading experience, observation, and curiosity about how we make and lose confidence in the markets. If you’re here to think more deeply about trading — beyond price targets and indicators — you’ll feel at home.

Sunday, October 26, 2025

Foundations of Volume-Spread Analysis

 

Foundations of Volume-Spread Analysis

Educational Edition — Free to Share for Learning Purposes

This course teaches the logic of Volume-Spread Analysis (VSA): how price spread, close, and traded volume reveal buying/selling pressure and professional activity. All content below is original and free for non-commercial learning.


πŸ“˜ Module 1 — The Logic of the Market start here

Big idea: Markets are continuous auctions. Price rises when demand > supply and falls when supply > demand. Volume shows the strength of that imbalance.

Lesson 1 — Markets as Auctions

Every market behaves like a live auction. When buyers compete harder, price is bid up; when sellers dominate, price declines. This auction logic underlies all chart reading.

Lesson 2 — Crowd vs Professionals

The crowd reacts to price; professionals act on preparation. Pros buy into fear and sell into euphoria, leaving footprints in volume and spread.

Lesson 3 — Reading a Price Bar

A bar conveys spread (range high–low), close (who won the bar), and volume (effort). Together they reveal effort vs result.

Lesson 4 — Why Volume Tells the Truth

Indicators are effects; volume is cause. Rising price on weak volume is suspect; strong volume with little progress hints at hidden opposition.

πŸ“Š Module 2 — Understanding Volume & Spread

Objective: Interpret wide/narrow spreads and compare effort vs result to detect hidden buying/selling.

Lesson 1 — Wide vs Narrow Spreads

Wide up-bar closing mid/low with high volume often signals supply appearing; narrow up-bar on low volume shows lack of interest (no demand).

Lesson 2 — Effort vs Result

Effort = volume; result = price progress. Harmony confirms the move; conflict exposes absorption or distribution.

Lesson 3 — Hidden Buying & Selling

Down-bar with very high volume followed by an up-bar = stopping volume (absorption). Up-bar with very high volume then down-bar = climactic supply.

Lesson 4 — Bar-by-Bar Practice

Write one-line “stories” for five consecutive bars: who’s active, buyers or sellers, and why (based on spread/close/volume).

πŸ” Module 3 — Supply, Demand & the Market Cycle

Four phases: Accumulation → Markup → Distribution → Markdown. Confirm transitions with background and tests.

Lesson 1 — Accumulation

Quiet buying after declines. Down-bars meet rising volume but fail to make fresh lows — supply is being absorbed.

Lesson 2 — Markup

Uptrend with healthy volume. Pullbacks are shallow; tests on low volume confirm lack of supply.

Lesson 3 — Distribution

Wide up-bars fail to progress; closes drift lower; volume expands — professionals unload to the public.

Lesson 4 — Markdown

Persistent weakness until stopping volume appears again. Wait for a successful test before assuming trend change.

πŸ•΅️ Module 4 — Recognizing Professional Activity

Rule: single bars don’t decide; background does. Read signals in context.

Lesson 1 — Signs of Strength

Stopping volume, shakeouts, and a successful test (low-volume dip that holds) indicate demand is winning.

Lesson 2 — Signs of Weakness

Up-thrust (wide up-bar closing low), no-demand (narrow up-bar, low volume), and “supply coming in” expose overhead selling.

Lesson 3 — Traps & False Breaks

Breakouts on low volume or with poor closes are suspect. Look for confirmation by next bars and background volume.

Lesson 4 — Reading Background

Scan left: recent climaxes, tests, and volume surges. A bar means little without the prior 30–50 bars’ context.

πŸ”— Module 5 — Confirmations & Cross-Checks

Use multiple time frames and volume logic to validate signals.

Lesson 1 — Multi-Time-Frame Alignment

Trade in the direction of higher-time-frame background; use lower-time-frame for precise entries.

Lesson 2 — Volume Confirmation

Rising price + rising volume = healthy trend; rising price + falling volume = exhaustion risk.

Lesson 3 — Effort/Result Divergence

Big effort with small result warns of hidden opposition and potential reversal.

Lesson 4 — Simple Cross-Tools

Moving averages only as context; volume profile or basic order-flow to locate heavy activity areas.

⚙️ Module 6 — Building a Trading Plan

Define entries/exits from structure; manage risk objectively.

Lesson 1 — Align with Background

Only trade when the background (trend + strength/weakness) supports your signal.

Lesson 2 — Entry & Exit Logic

Enter on confirmation (e.g., successful test). Exit on opposite signal or pre-defined risk multiple.

Lesson 3 — Risk & Position Sizing

Risk ≤ 1–2% per trade. Place stops beyond logical bars; size position from stop distance.

Lesson 4 — Scaling & Management

Add only when new evidence appears; trail stops under higher lows / above lower highs.

🧠 Module 7 — Trader Psychology & Discipline

Build habits that keep you objective and consistent.

Lesson 1 — Emotional Cycles

FOMO → over-confidence → loss → doubt. Awareness and rules break the loop.

Lesson 2 — The Journal

Record context, reason, emotion, outcome. Review weekly to reinforce good behavior.

Lesson 3 — Observation Practice

Spend 15 minutes daily reading bars without trading to build pattern memory.

Lesson 4 — Non-Prediction Mindset

Trade what you see, not what you think should happen. Let price/volume evidence lead.

πŸŒ… Module 8 — Integration & Live Practice

Apply VSA end-to-end on real sessions.

Lesson 1 — Full-Session Replay

Bar-by-bar review: where did strength/weakness first appear; what confirmed it?

Lesson 2 — Modern Tools

Blend VSA with volume profile or simple order-flow to see where business was done.

Lesson 3 — Personal Checklist

Background → signal → risk → exit. Print it; follow it.

Lesson 4 — Ethical Reflection

Use market knowledge responsibly. The aim is awareness and disciplined decision-making.


© Educational Edition — You may share or reproduce this material for non-commercial study purposes.

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